Kathleen Wynne is taking the Liberals down? Say it ain’t so.
Look, we’ve known for a while that Wynne is the least popular premier in Ontario but what makes this latest poll from DART Insight, backed by my old friend John Wright, so interesting, is that the full extent of the fall of Ontario’s Liberals is laid bare. Even in Toronto.
From the top line numbers.
The results were gathered during the meltdown of former PC leader Patrick Brown’s attempt
to regain his post and suggest that even in the midst of the campaign cacophony, when given
a choice as to who should govern Ontario, voters still preferred the Ontario PC’s (44%) to do
so versus the Ontario New Democratic Party (24%), the Ontario Liberal Party (19%) or
another party of their choice (“Other” 13%). Ontario voters go to the polls on June 7, 2018
So in the middle of Patrick Brown’s on again, off again leadership run, in the midst of the chaos that is the Ontario PC leadership race, the people of Ontario overwhelming say they would rather have the disorganized PCs run the province than Wynne’s Liberals.
I’m sure it’s just sexism or something. Watch for an explanation in The Red Star, I mean Toronto Star, soon.
But as I said, this poll shows that the rot in Ontario Liberal support is deep. DART’s regional numbers show that even in the core of Toronto the Liberals are in third at 22% support behind the NDP at 31% and the PCs at 36%. That is in downtown Toronto.
In the rest of the province the PCs lead in most regions with a high of 53% support in the GTA 905 region to 41% support in Southwestern Ontario. Northern Ontario is the outlier with the NDP leading there with 40% support, the PCs at 27% and the Liberals at 14%.
What all of these numbers say is that if an election were held now, or if these numbers hold, the Liberals are looking at a third place finish, watching the NDP pass them to go on to official opposition status and a sizable PC majority come June 7.